2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of May 18, 2024
This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
May 18: ME-02 moves from Leans to Likely Republican; NE-01 Likely to Safe Republican.
For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
Biden Delivers High-Stakes Commencement Address
Nevada Slipping Away from Democrats
Trump Urges NRA Members to ‘Be Rebellious and Vote’
Trump Floats a 3-Term Presidency
Biden and Trump Hunt for Breakthrough Moment
Headlines
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
Live Results: New York Congressional District 26 Special Election
There is also a legislative special election runoff in Alabama
Live Results: Puerto Rico Democratic Primary
The territory is expected to add 55 delegates to Joe Biden's total, which now exceeds 3,300
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: